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October 23, 2005

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beatroot

can I just correct something? Kaczynski did not 'come back from a 12% deficit'. He was only 3% behind in the first ballot two weeks ago. In the opinion polls he has been behind, aapart from one published on Friday that put him in the lead. So the result yesterday was a bit of a shock...opinion polls have been getting his share of the vote wrong regularly, both in general and presidential elections.

beatroot

can I just correct something? Kaczynski did not 'come back from a 12% deficit'. He was only 3% behind in the first ballot two weeks ago. In the opinion polls he has been behind, aapart from one published on Friday that put him in the lead. So the result yesterday was a bit of a shock...opinion polls have been getting his share of the vote wrong regularly, both in general and presidential elections.

Bill Rice

Beatroot,

I understand your complaint about the "12%" figure. I went back to the WSJ link of an article was written before the election was decided, but after the voting and they, as the WSJ often does has reworked their entire story with a focus on the victory.

Because of this, they have removed their original quote about the what I remember were the election polls of voter intent leading up to the run-off election. However, I do not know if they were dated prior to or post the October 9 first round of balloting.

While I can understand your frustration, I do remember doing the math between the Mr. Tusk's support and Mr. Kaczynski's support on that poll and the difference was 12%. As in America, political polling can often be way off (see US 2000 election).

Thank you for posting your comment to DEL and I appreciated your post on the election. I have updated my post above.

Kind regards,

Bill Rice
Dawn's Early Light

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